According to The Hollywood Reporter, Lucasfilm’s The Rise of Skywalker is tracking towards an estimated $175M-$200M opening weekend at the box office here in the United States. These figures would be a bit lower than the debut weekends for The Force Awakens in 2015 ($248 million) and The Last Jedi in 2017 ($220 million). Even with these numbers, having all three of the films in Sequel Trilogy cross the $200 million threshold on their opening weekend at the box office would be quite an accomplishment.
Directed by J.J. Abrams, the December tentpole is on course to open to at least $175 million to $200 million in its domestic debut over the Dec. 20-22 weekend, on par with early forecasts for Star Wars: The Last Jedi and Star Wars: The Force Awakens.
In December 2015, The Force Awakens — also directed by Abrams — revived the franchise with a then-record domestic debut of $248 million. The Last Jedi debuted to $220 million in December 2017.