‘Solo’ Debut Is Tracking A Bit Lower Than Initially Predicted

Earlier this month several media outlets were predicting director Ron Howard’s Solo: A Star Wars Story to enjoy a debut Memorial Day opening weekend of nearly $170 million in box office ticket sales. Those estimated sales figures have since been lowered a bit (but still at a most impressive number) to instead fall somewhere in the range of $130-$150 million as being reported by Entertainment Weekly, which would be a record for a Memorial Day weekend if it crosses the $140 million mark. However, if these predicted numbers hold true, Solo would come in lower than the theatrical debuts for Disney’s previous three Star Wars films (The Force Awakens, Rogue One, and The Last Jedi).

The good: Solo: A Star Wars Story is tracking to quite possibly break all box office records for Memorial Day weekend.

The not-so-hot: Even the high range of the current estimate will place it below the opening weekends of The Force Awakens, The Last Jedi, and Rogue One.

Keep in mind, a tracking estimate is just that, an estimate, the same kind of estimate that Avengers: Infinity War recently blew out of the water during its opening weekend. The lowest previous Disney Star Wars title is Rogue One, which opened to $155 million — Solo could still top Rogue One if new film opens above its estimate.

But Disney is looking at a four-day weekend opening of $130 million-$150 million. Again, for this particular weekend, that’s crazy high. No film has ever opened above $140 million over Memorial Day weekend, as so many moviegoers are traveling or out and about. (The current record holder is Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End, with $139.8 million back in 2007.)